Achilles 29 vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HIL
2 - 2
ACH
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ACH
2 - 1
QUI
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ACH
0 - 1
HAA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 1
JVC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |