Achilles 29 vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
VVV
3 - 0
ACH
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
ACH
2 - 1
EIN
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
HEL
2 - 2
ACH
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 0
VOL
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MVV
1 - 1
ACH
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
18%
24%
59%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
HER
47%
23%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 1
FCO
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |