Achilles 29 vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
ACH
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 1
ACH
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
ACH
69%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 2
VOL
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
AZA
7 - 0
ACH
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
JON
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |