Achilles '29 U21 vs Jong Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '29 U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
ACH
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
VOL
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
SPA
5 - 2
ALM
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
SPA
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
SPA
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 2
WIL
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |