Achilles '29 U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
58.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '29 U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 3
ACH
45%
20%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
ACH
0 - 8
ROD
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 4
HEL
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
14 - 0
ACH
83%
10%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 4
GAE
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
6 - 0
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
GAE
1 - 2
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ROD
0 - 3
EXC
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRA
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |