Achilles 1894 vs Stevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 0
VEL
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FVC
3 - 1
ACH
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
GRO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCE
1 - 1
ACH
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 1
NIE
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
WOL
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JOU
1 - 1
STE
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 0
STE
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
STE
0 - 1
DIO
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
STE
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |