Achilles '12 vs Stevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RHE
3 - 0
ACH
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TVC
0 - 2
ACH
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 0
ENS
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 4
BEM
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 0
GER
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
STE
1 - 2
PRE
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BAB
1 - 0
STE
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AWC
2 - 1
STE
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 1
STE
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
BEM
1 - 1
STE
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |