Achilles '12 vs Babberich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AWC
0 - 2
ACH
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SIL
1 - 1
ACH
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 0
STE
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RHE
3 - 0
ACH
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TVC
0 - 2
ACH
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Babberich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAB
2 - 1
PRE
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAB
2 - 2
RHE
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAB
2 - 4
TVC
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 2
BAB
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAB
2 - 0
BEM
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |