CD Acero vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DEN
4 - 1
ACE
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ACE
0 - 1
BUR
19%
26%
55%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ACE
0 - 3
OND
14%
25%
61%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
9 - 0
ACE
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACE
0 - 1
SPO
18%
27%
55%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PEG
3 - 2
OND
33%
28%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
PEG
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
PEG
0 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GAN
2 - 1
PEG
51%
28%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |