CD Acero vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GAN
6 - 2
ACE
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CAT
4 - 1
ACE
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACE
1 - 0
SDS
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
POR
1 - 2
ACE
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ACE
1 - 2
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PEG
0 - 1
CUL
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
PEG
3 - 3
ONT
36%
24%
41%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ALZ
4 - 1
PEG
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PEG
3 - 0
ALG
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
PEG
1 - 3
OLI
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -2 |