CD Acero vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
OLI
2 - 1
ACE
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ACE
4 - 1
SAG
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
GAN
3 - 2
ACE
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
GAN
1 - 0
ACE
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ACE
1 - 1
SAG
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
PEG
2 - 2
VIL
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
OND
0 - 1
PEG
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
PEG
2 - 1
CUL
63%
18%
18%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
PEG
2 - 3
ALG
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
VIL
2 - 2
PEG
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |