CD Acero vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NUC
3 - 1
ACE
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ACE
0 - 1
ORI
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SIL
2 - 0
ACE
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 1
ELD
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ELC
2 - 2
ACE
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAG
20%
24%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
NUC
24%
27%
49%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
SIL
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ELD
1 - 2
NOV
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |