CD Acero vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 1
ACE
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ACE
3 - 0
ALT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
ACE
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ACE
4 - 1
ELD
52%
24%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LLO
1 - 0
ACE
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
MIS
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RIB
1 - 0
NOV
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALZ
0 - 1
NOV
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAG
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |