CD Acero vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
5 - 1
ACE
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ACE
0 - 3
NUC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 1
ACE
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 1
ELD
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 4
ACE
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 0
BUR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
ELC
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ELC
3 - 0
LLO
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 3
ELC
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
ELC
60%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |