CD Acero vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 1
ACE
74%
18%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
OND
1 - 0
ACE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACE
1 - 3
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
ACE
70%
20%
11%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ACE
2 - 2
GAN
16%
24%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
DEN
0 - 0
OND
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
DEN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GAN
0 - 0
DEN
35%
29%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
DEN
3 - 1
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |