CD Acero vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 1
ACE
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ACE
3 - 0
ELD
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
ACE
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ACE
2 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 1
ACE
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
RIB
45%
27%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CUL
0 - 0
SAG
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 0
PIN
52%
26%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAG
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 0
ORI
27%
28%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |