CD Acero vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 3
ACE
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 0
JOV
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 2
ACE
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
ACE
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 2
CRE
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
BUR
36%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SAG
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 0
SAG
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 0
LLO
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 6
ZAR
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |