CD Acero vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
ACE
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACE
1 - 0
VIN
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 1
ACE
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACE
4 - 1
VIL
66%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
ACE
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
4 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 1
SAG
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
2 - 0
LAV
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAG
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 1
CFS
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |