Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
14º
12º
34
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ACD
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GON
1 - 0
ACD
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 0
ACD
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 2
VAL
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VSC
1 - 1
AMA
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
VSC
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VSC
2 - 0
REB
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
VSC
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VSC
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |