ACD Guidonia vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 2
ACD
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 1
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 2
ACD
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
ACD
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
4 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 2
GAV
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SGP
0 - 4
SSD
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SSD
0 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 3
SSD
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
SSD
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |