ACD Guidonia vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
+317%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACD
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 3
GAV
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACD
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 0
SSD
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 2
ACD
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 1
ORV
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 0
SGP
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
ORV
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |