ACD Guidonia vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACD
1 - 1
SGP
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ORV
2 - 2
ACD
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 2
ACD
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ACD
5 - 3
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAV
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SGP
2 - 1
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
SSD
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
DER
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |