ACD Fatima vs La Mutual Juan XXIII B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
46.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+559%
+648%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 4
PLA
50%
20%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LCB
4 - 5
ACD
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
4 - 7
JLC
15%
17%
69%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
4 - 0
ACD
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 1
FER
40%
20%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LMJ
5 - 3
LCB
55%
19%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JLC
6 - 1
LMJ
85%
9%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LMJ
4 - 3
ALL
24%
20%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
4 - 6
LMJ
52%
19%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LMJ
0 - 9
MAM
18%
18%
65%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |