Accrington Stanley vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NOT
3 - 2
STA
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
3 - 1
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
ROC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 0
NTT
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WRE
2 - 1
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
SHW
1 - 4
WRE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 2
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
WRE
0 - 0
POS
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |