Accrington Stanley vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
STE
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
STA
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WYC
1 - 1
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 1
OPA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NTT
5 - 1
SCU
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 2
MIL
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
COV
1 - 1
SCU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |