Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
STA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 3
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 2
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
PLY
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
CRA
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 1
BUR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |