Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
STA
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
CRE
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COV
0 - 2
STA
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WYC
2 - 4
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |