Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
BUR
16%
21%
64%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 1
STA
35%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
BOU
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
4 - 5
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |