Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
STA
3 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STE
2 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
DAG
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
YOR
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
WYC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BCF
3 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |