Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 3
STA
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
EXE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
STA
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 0
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 3
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
MOR
83%
13%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
POR
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
YOR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |