Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
STA
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
STA
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHE
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
DAG
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |