Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
STA
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ROC
3 - 1
STA
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
STA
3 - 1
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
STA
43%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
4 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 1
MOR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |