Accrington Stanley vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STF
1 - 0
STA
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 1
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 1
STA
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 3
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
FOR
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
WHU
8 - 0
MAC
85%
12%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAC
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |