Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
STA
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 4
AFC
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STF
2 - 0
GIL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 3
STO
16%
26%
59%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 0
ALD
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
2 - 1
GIL
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |