Accrington Stanley vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
GIL
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
STA
2 - 4
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 0
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BBU
2 - 0
FUL
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
STO
3 - 2
FUL
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
FUL
1 - 0
SWI
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 0
TOT
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |