Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 1
STA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
CAM
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 2
CRE
61%
20%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 3
CRE
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |