Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 0
STA
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
LUT
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 1
STA
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 0
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
72%
16%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
COL
4 - 1
CUM
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 3
GRI
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 3
CUM
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 1
CUM
23%
25%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |