Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
STA
4 - 1
CRA
64%
20%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 0
STA
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
EXE
2 - 1
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
CUM
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 0
STA
54%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 3
EVE
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 1
YOR
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 1
CUM
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |