Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
LUT
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
STF
4 - 0
STA
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 1
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 0
CUM
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WYC
3 - 1
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 2
DER
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |