Accrington Stanley vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WYC
1 - 1
STA
35%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STA
3 - 2
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
LIV
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
RSO
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 3
BUR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |