Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
2 - 1
STA
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
STA
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 0
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
AFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
DAG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |