Acatlan vs Faraones Texcoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+349%
+1170%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
11º
20
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acatlan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RVC
2 - 1
AFC
69%
19%
13%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 6
AFC
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEV
7 - 0
AFC
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CFT
2 - 0
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
CFT
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 78 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
1 - 0
ZIT
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PDC
2 - 0
CFT
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
2 - 0
TCS
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |