Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
30.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 0
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
STM
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
ACA
59%
25%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 2
FEN
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
COM
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 0
DEF
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
37%
30%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |