Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
ACA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 3
SUA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
ARM
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIE
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
MID
72%
20%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
17%
26%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
RIE
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |