Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 2
ACA
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STM
4 - 0
ACA
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
AND
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 3
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
COM
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
DEF
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |