Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TEM
3 - 0
ACA
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUA
1 - 0
ACA
40%
27%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
ACA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 2
AND
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
BRO
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
ARM
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |