Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AND
0 - 2
ACA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
ALM
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
SUA
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
VSC
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 1
DEF
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
DEF
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |