Acassuso vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 2
ACA
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ACA
2 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
ACA
2 - 3
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 1
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AND
3 - 1
DEF
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
CCO
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 3
ARM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |