Casati Arcore vs Nibionno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casati Arcore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAP
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 3
OGG
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAI
4 - 1
ACA
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 1
ALZ
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Nibionno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NIB
3 - 0
REA
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 0
NIB
29%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NIB
5 - 0
VER
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
NIB
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NIB
2 - 2
OGG
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |