Casati Arcore vs Brugherio 1968 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casati Arcore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
ACA
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
NIB
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAP
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 3
OGG
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brugherio 1968
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NIB
1 - 1
BRU
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BRU
0 - 0
VER
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 2
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BRU
2 - 3
OGG
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BRU
2 - 0
PAI
50%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |